The Midterm Exodus: Rep. Barry Loudermilk Joins List of Departing Republicans

On Wednesday, February 4, 2026, Representative Barry Loudermilk (R-GA) officially announced he will not seek reelection to Georgia’s 11th Congressional District, ending a tenure that began in 2015. Loudermilk, a key figure on the House Administration Committee, stated he intends to “contribute to my community, state, and nation in other ways” after completing his current term.

His departure follows a significant trend in the 119th Congress, as the Republican party’s razor-thin majority faces a growing number of retirements and resignations.


The “Exodus” by the Numbers

As of February 2026, the Republican party is experiencing a higher rate of voluntary departures compared to Democrats, a trend often seen in the president’s party ahead of midterm elections.

  • Total Non-Seekers (House):50 incumbent members have announced they will not seek reelection.
    • Republicans: 29 (including Loudermilk)
    • Democrats: 21
  • Active Vacancies: There are currently three active vacancies in the House (CA-01, GA-14, NJ-11), further straining the GOP’s voting threshold.
  • The “Ambition” Factor: A majority of the departing Republicans are not retiring from politics entirely; roughly 19 Republicans are leaving the House specifically to run for Governor or U.S. Senate.

Key Republican Departures (2025–2026)

Loudermilk joins several high-profile colleagues who have opted out of the 2026 cycle.

RepresentativeState/DistrictReason for Departure
Barry LoudermilkGA-11Retirement from Congress
Elise StefanikNY-21Retirement from Public Office
Vern BuchananFL-16Retirement from Public Office
Michael McCaulTX-10Retirement from Public Office
Byron DonaldsFL-19Running for Governor of Florida
Marjorie Taylor GreeneGA-14Resigned (Jan 2026)
Wesley HuntTX-38Running for U.S. Senate

The House Balance of Power

Loudermilk’s announcement comes at a precarious moment for House Speaker Mike Johnson. Following recent special election losses—including a high-profile Democratic flip in Houston—the Republican majority has dwindled to its most fragile state in years.

  • Current Partisan Breakdown:
    • Republicans: 218
    • Democrats: 214
    • Vacancies: 3
  • The “One-Vote” Reality: With 218 seats, Republicans currently hold the minimum number required for a majority. Any single defection or absence can stall the administration’s legislative agenda, particularly on high-stakes issues like immigration funding or the 2026 budget.

The “Latino Shift” and Midterm Outlook

The mention of a “50-point swing” among Latino voters refers to the recent special election in Texas’ 15th District, where Democrats reclaimed a seat previously held by a Trump-aligned Republican. Political analysts, including those at Cook Political Report, have noted that if these demographic shifts hold, the 2026 midterms could see the narrowest path to victory for a first-term president’s party in over a decade.

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